There is a good chance that a tropical depression or tropical storm will develop over the next few days as the system moves northward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea and toward the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.
Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico
* Chance of formation within 48 hours…average…50 percent.
* Chance of formation after 7 days…high…80 percent.
From the National Hurricane Center:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the northwestern
Caribbean Sea and portions of Central America are associated with a
broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for development of this disturbance, and a tropical
depression or tropical storm is likely to form during the next few
days while the system moves northward across the northwestern
Caribbean Sea and into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.* * * * * *
Regardless of development, this disturbance is expected to produce heavy rains over portions of Central America during the next several days. Interests in the northwestern Caribbean, the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, and western Cuba should closely monitor the progress of this feature. Later this week, the system is forecast to move generally northward across the eastern Gulf of Mexico, and interests along the northern and northeastern Gulf Coast should also monitor the
progress of this system.
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